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padding: 0px; width: 100%; height: 800px"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> $('#SwfDocumentViewer').FlexPaperViewer({ config: { SWFFile: '', Scale: 0.6, ZoomTransition: 'easeOut', ZoomTime: 0.5, ZoomInterval: 0.1, FitPageOnLoad: false, FitWidthOnLoad: true, FullScreenAsMaxWindow: false, ProgressiveLoading: false, MinZoomSize: 0.2, MaxZoomSize: 5, SearchMatchAll: true, InitViewMode: '', RenderingOrder: 'flash,html', StartAtPage: '', ViewModeToolsVisible: true, ZoomToolsVisible: true, NavToolsVisible: true, CursorToolsVisible: true, SearchToolsVisible: true, WMode: 'transparent', localeChain: 'en_US' } }); </script> </div> <script type="text/javascript"> var swfurl = document.getElementById("SwfFileUrl").innerHTML.toString().trim(); if (swfurl === "") { document.getElementById("ShowSwfDiv").innerHTML = ""; } </script> <div> <p style="text-indent: 25px;"> </p> <p></p> <div style="text-align: center;"></div> <p style="text-indent: 25px;"></p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">周二Q??8日)夜盘Q铁矿石期货d合约上破800元关口。不q,市场分析师认为,铁矿石h格的不断走高Q也降低了下渔R厂对原料的采购意ѝ因此,未来铁矿石hD一步上行空间将受限?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">分析人士表示Q近期钢厂高炉开工率水^l持高位Q叠加铁矿石港口库存持箋下降Q供需格局持箋偏紧寚w矿石期h提供显著支撑。然而,铁矿石h格的不断走高Q也降低了下渔R厂对原料的采购意ѝ因此,未来铁矿石hD一步上行空间将受限?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">期hq创阶段新高</p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">兴业期货分析师表C,本周全国26港铁矿石到港总量环比减少97.3万吨Q北?港到港总量环比大幅下降227.8万吨Q其中低品澳_到港量下降最为明显。而国内环保仍无趋严迹象,高炉炼钢盈利可Q本周高炉开工率水^与之前持qI铁矿x耗及疏港量亦l持较高水^Q得铁矿石供需格局持箋处于相对偏紧局面,q期港口铁矿矛_存下降至1.17亿吨?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">上述分析师进一步表C,考虑到长程高炉短期内大q减产的概率较低Q且力拓宣布7?月䆾可能取?000万吨的小长协QE水河谷停用矿׃未复产,港口铁矿矛_存或有l下降的I间?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">钢厂寚w价原料采购意愿下?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">上游铁矿石h格持l攀升,但下渔R厂因为盈利水q下降,寚w价原料接受度下降。迈U期货分析师表示Q近期由于v外发q及到港量双降,本周港口铁矿矛_存l大降至1.2亿吨以下Q但从发q量推算Q未来几周到港量有望回升。虽然目前下渔R厂利润水q_未降至亏损状态,短期难以出现减情况Q但目前Ҏ模型估算Q即时利润已降至癑օ以下的͘q减产边界,未来需x钢厂减q度。整体来看,铁矿石短期h格对利好反应充分Q应谨慎看待上方高度?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">兴业期货分析师也表示Q当前钢厂利润已大幅萎羃Q尤其是部分热卷及冷轧生产企业已接近亏损Q高炉检修限产意愿有所增强Q铁矿石需求或会阶D|{弱,叠加此前外矿发运量回升的影响Q或会对矿h形成压制。此外,铁矿x货盘面h格已q行臛_高,淡季上攻压力增强?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">“进口铁矿石现货hl箋上调Q部分N易商受利润高涨的影响Q报L极性较高,但受制于港口库存持箋下降的媄响,Zh意愿较ؓ明显。不q,钢厂斚wQ受q日来铁矿石现货h大幅上涨影响Q恐高情l较Z重,对于此轮现货h上涨接受E度不高Q以低h试探性询盘ؓ主,采购U极性不高。”瑞达期货分析师表示?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;">对于后市Q兴业期货分析师认ؓQ短期来看,铁矿石h格或维持高位震荡。策略方面,单边斚wQ徏议对铁矿x?909合约前多M谨慎持有Q组合方面,铁矿石买9-?正套l合l箋耐心持有Q买铁矿?909-卖焦?909l合l箋持有?/p> <p style="text-indent: 25px;"> </p> <p style="margin: 0px; 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